Analyzing Temperature Trends in Nouakchott Using ARIMA Modeling

Abstract

This research examines the temperature inconstancy in Nouakchott through the application of the Autoregressive Coordinates Moving Average ARIMA model for time series estimating Historical climate records traversing from 2000 to 2020 were utilized with 80 of the data apportioned for model preparing and 20 for approval The created ARIMA show was utilized to extend temperature patterns up to 2026 uncovering a steady upward direction in temperature trends The observed historical data displayed considerable seasonal changes and interannual variability while the forecasted trends demonstrate a consistent increase These discoveries offer vital bits of knowledge for climate adjustment techniques and policy development in parched environments The ponder underscores the viability of ARIMA in capturing complex worldly patterns in temperature data illustrating its potential for environmental and climate risk assessment applications.